Lume Prediction Markets
Make a call → take a side (YES/NO) → get paid if you’re right.
Lume Prediction Markets let anyone trade on outcomes — from price targets to event results — using a simple, fast UX on Solana. Markets are binary (Yes/No) to keep it intuitive: buy YES if you think the event will happen, NO if you don’t. Prices move with supply/demand, reflecting the market‑implied probability.
Why Lume?
One‑tap onboarding (Privy): Email OTP login; wallet spins up automatically.
Solana speed & fees: Trade outcomes in milliseconds with low costs.
Creator‑led calls: KOLs/creators can launch markets tied to their public calls on Lume Socials.
Gamified rewards: Earn Lume Points and tier‑boosted cashback when you trade.
How It Works (Lifecycle)
Create — A market is listed with a clear statement, resolution time, and source of truth (oracle / verified source).
Trade — Users buy YES or NO shares; price ∈ [0,1] USDC and updates as people trade.
Resolve — At the deadline, the outcome is checked via the stated resolver (e.g., on‑chain oracle for price targets, curated sources for event results).
Payout — Winning side settles at 1.00 per share; losing side at 0.00. Users claim winnings in‑app.
Example market
Will BTC be greater than $120,000 on Nov 1, 2025 ? If you buy 100 YES at 0.42, you pay 42 USDC. If the outcome resolves YES, you receive 100 USDC → profit 58 USDC (minus fees).
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